Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.173068 0.185789 0.199043 0.213896 0.230099 0.247259 0.266833
2025-05-04 0.150119 0.168578 0.188872 0.212917 0.240726 0.271996 0.309980
2025-05-11 0.135692 0.156938 0.181140 0.210903 0.246727 0.288713 0.342023
2025-05-18 0.124420 0.147287 0.174081 0.208032 0.250237 0.301416 0.368840
2025-05-25 0.119627 0.144614 0.174648 0.213759 0.263853 0.326559 0.412096
2025-06-01 0.111761 0.137447 0.168977 0.210976 0.266132 0.337052 0.436715
2025-06-08 0.105301 0.131517 0.164313 0.208907 0.268825 0.347800 0.461897
2025-06-15 0.098195 0.124282 0.157453 0.203372 0.266315 0.351107 0.476660
2025-06-22 0.093221 0.119503 0.153453 0.201271 0.268110 0.360101 0.499673
2025-06-29 0.090381 0.117351 0.152746 0.203478 0.275809 0.377564 0.535877
2025-07-06 0.086037 0.112935 0.148713 0.200773 0.276279 0.384545 0.556736
2025-07-13 0.082676 0.109680 0.146075 0.199820 0.279097 0.394937 0.583271
2025-07-20 0.081414 0.109339 0.147556 0.204972 0.291357 0.420434 0.635857
2025-07-27 0.078245 0.106188 0.144932 0.204006 0.294420 0.432165 0.667386
2025-08-03 0.075041 0.102826 0.141819 0.202095 0.295833 0.441268 0.695067
2025-08-10 0.071834 0.099312 0.138310 0.199366 0.295746 0.447862 0.718829
2025-08-17 0.071164 0.099444 0.140125 0.204808 0.308784 0.476361 0.782518
2025-08-24 0.068330 0.096263 0.136856 0.202164 0.308618 0.482982 0.807862
2025-08-31 0.065858 0.093517 0.134117 0.200198 0.309398 0.491147 0.836490
2025-09-07 0.062695 0.089614 0.129458 0.194937 0.304396 0.489049 0.845785
2025-09-14 0.060530 0.087146 0.126904 0.192941 0.304746 0.496204 0.873013
2025-09-21 0.059476 0.086335 0.126875 0.195039 0.312144 0.516178 0.926494
2025-09-28 0.057384 0.083840 0.124106 0.192467 0.311294 0.521223 0.950815